Neuchâtel Xamax vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 2
NEX
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NEX
4 - 1
LOC
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WOH
0 - 2
NEX
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
NEX
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
NEX
0 - 3
YOB
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
CON
4 - 2
LOC
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
CON
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
LAU
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
WIL
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |