Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
NEX
2 - 1
STG
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1985 |
SPO
4 - 4
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
FCA
0 - 1
NEX
39%
25%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
NEX
3 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
NEX
8 - 0
BAD
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
BAD
1 - 3
BAS
27%
26%
46%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |