Neuchâtel Xamax II vs Therwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
NEX
4 - 0
FCO
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCE
3 - 4
NEX
13%
19%
68%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NEX
3 - 2
LYS
71%
16%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 3
NEX
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEX
2 - 1
LIE
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 2
POR
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 1
FCT
56%
21%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 4
BLA
13%
19%
69%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCE
2 - 1
FCT
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 2
MOU
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +1 |