Nesebar vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NES
2 - 2
ZAG
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROZ
2 - 4
NES
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NES
3 - 1
KAR
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AKU
1 - 1
NES
6%
18%
76%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NES
4 - 0
BPL
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BDI
1 - 2
SEP
11%
21%
68%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
YAN
3 - 2
SEP
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 3
SEP
43%
27%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |