Nesebar vs OFC Sliven 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
DOB
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 1
NES
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
6 - 0
NES
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
OFC Sliven 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SLI
3 - 0
DOR
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NEF
1 - 0
SLI
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SLI
0 - 1
LYU
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
SLI
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SLI
1 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |