Nesebar vs Oborishte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
BVR
1 - 1
NES
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
NES
3 - 1
LUD
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BGA
2 - 1
NES
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NES
0 - 0
SOZ
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FCT
3 - 2
NES
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Oborishte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
OBO
2 - 0
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NEF
0 - 2
OBO
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
OBO
1 - 2
LSO
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 3
OBO
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
OBO
0 - 0
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |