Nesebar vs Ludogorets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BGA
2 - 1
NES
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NES
0 - 0
SOZ
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FCT
3 - 2
NES
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NES
2 - 2
ETA
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
LSO
3 - 1
NES
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
LUD
2 - 2
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
NEF
2 - 1
LUD
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LUD
2 - 1
LSO
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUD
4 - 2
SPA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CSK
0 - 2
LUD
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |