Nesebar vs Etar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NES
2 - 3
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 2
NES
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NES
0 - 0
NEF
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NES
1 - 0
SVE
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 3
NES
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETA
1 - 0
DOR
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NEF
1 - 0
ETA
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ETA
1 - 0
LYU
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
SVE
3 - 1
ETA
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
ETA
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |