Nesebar vs Dorostol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 3
NES
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 0
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
BOT
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SLI
4 - 0
NES
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
SVA
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
DOR
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEF
7 - 1
DOR
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 0
LYU
30%
29%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
DOR
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
SLI
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |