Nesebar vs Chernomorets Pomorie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LUD
1 - 0
NES
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NES
2 - 1
DOR
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
NES
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Pomorie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 2
LUD
31%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 2
CHE
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
BRE
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SVE
1 - 1
CHE
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
LYU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |