Nesebar vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NEF
0 - 1
NES
26%
25%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NES
1 - 3
LSO
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NES
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NES
1 - 1
MON
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
OBO
0 - 1
NES
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 0
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
NEF
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 0
LUD
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 0
CHE
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |