Nesebar vs Brestnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
NES
0 - 1
LYU
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 0
NES
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NES
0 - 0
LUD
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 0
NES
46%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
DOR
1 - 1
NES
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 6
LUD
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 0
DOR
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DOB
2 - 0
BRE
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SVE
0 - 0
BRE
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |