Nesebar vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASE
2 - 1
NES
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
NES
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NES
2 - 0
SLI
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ROZ
1 - 0
NES
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
NES
2 - 0
ZAG
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
BVR
6 - 0
PAV
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ASV
1 - 2
BVR
24%
25%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BVR
5 - 0
BOT
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BDI
2 - 5
BVR
13%
22%
66%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 2
BVR
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |