Nesebar vs Bansko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NES
1 - 4
LUD
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
NES
1 - 2
POM
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCT
0 - 2
NES
75%
18%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NES
0 - 0
SOZ
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FKV
0 - 1
NES
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bansko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
FCT
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 1
SOZ
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SOZ
0 - 0
BAN
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 3
FKV
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CSK
3 - 2
BAN
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |