Nerostellati Frattese vs Scordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
NFR
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 0
USV
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
NFR
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
NFR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Scordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 1
USV
30%
24%
45%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 0
SCO
85%
12%
4%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 3
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
SCO
68%
18%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 0
VIG
29%
23%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |