Nerostellati Frattese vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
NFR
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
VIG
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NFR
3 - 1
CAV
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
NFR
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NFR
3 - 2
ROC
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 4
USV
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 2
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
VIG
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |