Nerostellati Frattese vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
NFR
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NFR
3 - 0
DTO
90%
8%
3%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
NFR
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NFR
1 - 2
SIC
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
POM
0 - 0
NFR
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
USC
2 - 1
ROC
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
USC
0 - 0
GRA
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 1
USC
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
USC
1 - 1
POM
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DTO
0 - 3
USC
35%
24%
40%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +2 |