Nerostellati Frattese vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 1
NFR
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NFR
2 - 3
REN
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RAA
0 - 0
NFR
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 1
NFR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NFR
1 - 0
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
ROC
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
USC
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
POM
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 4
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |