Nerostellati Frattese vs As Sersale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 2
NFR
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NFR
1 - 0
CAV
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NFR
3 - 1
USC
85%
10%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
NFR
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NFR
3 - 0
DTO
90%
8%
3%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
3 - 0
DTO
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 0
SIC
7%
16%
77%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
ASS
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
POM
2 - 2
ASS
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |