Neroca vs TRAU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
46.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
12º
13
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
MOH
11%
21%
69%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
RAJ
5 - 1
NER
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NER
2 - 3
CHU
13%
21%
65%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
KAS
3 - 1
NER
31%
21%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
NER
1 - 2
DFC
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
TRAU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 2
RAJ
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 2
TRA
16%
17%
67%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
KAS
6 - 3
TRA
27%
20%
53%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
SHI
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 2
MOH
21%
25%
55%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |