Neroca vs TRAU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
11º
9º
35
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
CHU
0 - 0
NER
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 1
NER
72%
18%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
SDF
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 0
NER
79%
15%
6%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
NER
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
TRAU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 2
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
SMF
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
6 - 1
TRA
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 1
RAJ
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
NER
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |