Neroca vs Shillong Lajong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
12º
31
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
NAM
3 - 2
NER
12%
16%
71%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
MOH
2 - 1
NER
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NER
3 - 4
RAJ
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CHU
4 - 1
NER
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NER
1 - 3
KAS
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Shillong Lajong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
KAS
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JAM
2 - 0
SHI
82%
12%
5%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
SHI
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
KER
3 - 1
SHI
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |