Neroca vs Rajasthan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
12º
25
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CHU
4 - 1
NER
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NER
1 - 3
KAS
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
DFC
3 - 4
NER
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
NER
0 - 4
RKF
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NER
2 - 1
NAM
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Rajasthan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
RAJ
2 - 2
KAS
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RAJ
1 - 1
SHI
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
RAJ
2 - 2
AIZ
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
RAJ
1 - 2
SDF
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RAJ
1 - 2
MOH
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |