Neroca vs Mohun Bagan SG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
NER
1 - 0
RKF
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 1
NER
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAI
1 - 1
NER
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CCF
2 - 2
NER
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
NER
1 - 4
EAS
21%
24%
56%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MBS
2 - 1
EAS
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
MBS
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
RKF
0 - 2
MBS
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
MBS
2 - 1
GFC
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
MBS
4 - 0
TRA
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +2 |