Neroca vs Kenkre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
11º
9º
17
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NER
2 - 1
GFC
18%
25%
57%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SDF
3 - 2
NER
69%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NER
2 - 1
AIZ
29%
25%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
NER
3 - 1
TRA
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
CHU
0 - 0
NER
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Kenkre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
KEN
3 - 3
MIN
15%
22%
63%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 0
KEN
78%
16%
7%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
KEN
2 - 1
SDF
11%
19%
69%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
KEN
0 - 3
MOH
18%
23%
60%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 0
KEN
73%
17%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |