Neroca vs Churchill Brothers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
GFC
4 - 0
NER
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOH
2 - 0
NER
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
SDF
0 - 0
NER
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NER
0 - 2
RAJ
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
MOH
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
MOH
2 - 0
CHU
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 1
MIN
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 1
GFC
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 1
RAJ
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PAI
1 - 2
CHU
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |