Neroca vs Churchill Brothers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
PAI
70%
20%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SMF
1 - 1
NER
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
NER
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
RKF
3 - 3
NER
62%
21%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
NER
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
SDF
1 - 1
CHU
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 1
AIZ
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
RAJ
2 - 0
CHU
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
MOH
1 - 2
CHU
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 0
CHU
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |