Neroca vs Aizawl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
11º
9º
26
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
NER
3 - 1
TRA
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
CHU
0 - 0
NER
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 1
NER
72%
18%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
SDF
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 0
NER
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Aizawl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SMF
1 - 2
AIZ
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
MOH
2 - 2
AIZ
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
AIZ
0 - 0
RKF
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
RAJ
1 - 0
AIZ
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AIZ
4 - 0
KEN
68%
19%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |