CD Nerja Fundación vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+243%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
NER
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NER
3 - 0
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
4 - 2
NER
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NER
1 - 2
MAR
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
NER
0 - 0
MAL
20%
24%
55%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 0
ARE
77%
16%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARE
0 - 0
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
ARE
63%
23%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARE
0 - 0
PAL
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
ARE
0 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |