Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
JAD
6 - 1
NER
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
KAM
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NER
2 - 3
SPL
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
OTO
0 - 0
NER
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
NER
0 - 0
HRV
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MAK
0 - 0
JAD
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAK
4 - 3
KAM
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SPL
1 - 0
MAK
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAK
1 - 0
OTO
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
HRV
3 - 0
MAK
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |