Nereto vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nereto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 3
NER
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
POR
10%
16%
73%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NER
0 - 4
TRA
8%
15%
78%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SFF
2 - 1
NER
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
AAC
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 3
REC
25%
28%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 1
FAN
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 0
PIN
31%
28%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 2
FAN
10%
19%
71%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 1
UST
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |