Nereto vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nereto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 2
NER
81%
13%
7%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
FAN
15%
21%
65%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 3
NER
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
POR
10%
16%
73%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NER
0 - 4
TRA
8%
15%
78%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
REC
24%
27%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
PIN
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 1
CAS
8%
17%
75%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
UST
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |