Nenzing vs Sulzberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
NEN
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NEN
2 - 2
MAD
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 2
NEN
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NEN
2 - 1
ROT
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
NEN
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sulzberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SUL
3 - 2
HOH
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
5 - 1
SUL
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SUL
0 - 1
EGG
22%
23%
56%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BIZ
1 - 0
SUL
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIB
5 - 1
SUL
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |