Nenzing vs Mäder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 2
NEN
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NEN
2 - 1
ROT
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
NEN
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MEI
1 - 0
NEN
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
NEN
5 - 2
WOL
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mäder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAD
3 - 2
HOH
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
MAD
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 5
EGG
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 1
BIZ
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SUL
0 - 0
MAD
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |