Nenzing vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
14º
7º
41
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NEN
4 - 0
AND
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
NEN
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NEN
1 - 0
ADM
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NEN
0 - 4
RTB
64%
18%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 1
NEN
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
ALB
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 2
LUS
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
4 - 2
FCH
41%
22%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EGG
1 - 2
LUS
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 2
LAU
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |