Neman Mosty vs Smena Vawkavysk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
5º
4º
21
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neman Mosty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 5
NEM
48%
20%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NEB
4 - 2
NEM
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 2
FKS
27%
20%
54%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 2
NEM
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 1
SLC
42%
21%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Smena Vawkavysk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SVA
6 - 0
SLC
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CHZ
2 - 4
SVA
16%
18%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 0
NEB
26%
19%
55%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +4 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FKS
3 - 1
SVA
60%
18%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SVA
5 - 0
GRO
75%
14%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |