Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
2º
18
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 62 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 56 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 52 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 39 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 27 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 25 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
35.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
61.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neman Grodno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
NEM
22%
23%
56%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NEM
3 - 0
MIN
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NEM
4 - 2
FKS
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NEM
2 - 1
SHA
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
NEM
0 - 2
BAT
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 2
NAF
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ISL
2 - 2
NAF
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 2
MKK
29%
22%
49%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NEM
4 - 0
NAF
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
8 - 0
NAF
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |