Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
12º
2º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neman Grodno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BAT
3 - 2
NEM
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 0
FKS
65%
23%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 2
NEM
24%
26%
51%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 0
SLA
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 0
ISL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 7
BAT
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NAF
2 - 1
FKS
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
2 - 2
SLA
25%
26%
48%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
5 - 1
NAF
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
TOR
23%
28%
50%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |