Neman Grodno vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neman Grodno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
TAR
1 - 2
NEM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
NEM
0 - 2
DNM
31%
27%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SLM
1 - 3
NEM
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
NEM
2 - 2
DAR
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 3
NEM
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
NAF
3 - 1
DIN
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
NAF
2 - 2
TAR
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
DNM
6 - 1
NAF
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
NAF
3 - 1
SLM
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
1 - 3
NAF
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |