Neman Grodno vs Dinamo Brest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
2º
41
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
|
1º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 55 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
29.5% | 3.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
63% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neman Grodno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
NEM
2 - 0
ISL
35%
25%
41%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 0
NEM
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 0
FKA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
NEM
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
NEM
2 - 0
DNM
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Brest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 4
DIN
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 1
GOM
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
DIN
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 2
NAF
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |