Nelson Suburbs vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
4º
4º
11
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 4
SUF
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
COA
2 - 2
NSF
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 2
FCN
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
CHR
8%
12%
81%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 3
UOC
57%
19%
24%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 3
FER
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COA
5 - 1
UOC
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
UOC
68%
18%
15%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |