Nelson Suburbs vs Selwyn United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
6º
10
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 9
NSF
8%
11%
81%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 6
NSF
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
NOM
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CNT
0 - 10
NSF
8%
12%
80%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 1
SUF
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SUF
2 - 3
COA
24%
20%
56%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
SUF
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GIA
4 - 1
SUF
62%
18%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
CAS
5%
9%
86%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |