Nelson Suburbs vs Otago University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 5
CAS
7%
15%
78%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GIA
2 - 4
NSF
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SCR
3 - 2
NSF
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
COA
1 - 0
NSF
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 1
CHR
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CHR
5 - 0
OTU
34%
22%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
COA
3 - 0
OTU
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OTU
0 - 4
CAS
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NSH
2 - 2
OTU
57%
19%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
OTU
3 - 1
SUF
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |