Nelson Suburbs vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
4º
4º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 2
NSF
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 1
UOC
87%
9%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 4
SUF
89%
8%
4%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
COA
2 - 2
NSF
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 1
SUF
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
NOM
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCT
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
NOM
32%
21%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
CHR
15%
16%
68%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |