Nelson Suburbs vs Mosgiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 1
GIA
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 2
SUF
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 3
OTU
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 5
CAS
7%
15%
78%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GIA
2 - 4
NSF
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mosgiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 3
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 0
MOS
46%
21%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GIA
4 - 4
MOS
47%
21%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 3
GIA
61%
18%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SCR
1 - 5
MOS
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |