Nelson Suburbs vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
11.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
6º
16
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 3
NSF
41%
21%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
5 - 4
NSF
89%
7%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NSF
0 - 1
CAS
10%
12%
77%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NSF
7 - 1
SUF
84%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 9
NSF
8%
11%
81%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 7
CAS
6%
10%
84%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WNK
2 - 2
GIA
53%
20%
28%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
QPA
0 - 1
GIA
50%
20%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
FER
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |