Nelson Suburbs vs Nelson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 0
RAA
74%
15%
12%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
NSF
44%
20%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 6
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Nelson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
TAH
2 - 3
FCN
9%
15%
76%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCN
9 - 0
MAF
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 1
FCN
5%
12%
83%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
5 - 2
GBA
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 6
NSF
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |