Nelson Suburbs vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
4º
4º
19
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 2
FCN
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 0
RAA
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
NSF
44%
20%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUF
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
FCT
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 0
DUN
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |