Nelson Suburbs vs Coastal Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
8º
6º
31
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
DUN
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 4
NSF
36%
21%
44%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
NSF
40%
22%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 4
CAS
9%
12%
79%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
4 - 1
NSF
17%
18%
65%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 4
COA
7%
12%
81%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COA
1 - 1
CAS
5%
9%
86%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 1
COA
55%
19%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
COA
0 - 4
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
COA
38%
22%
41%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |