Nei Mongol Zhongyou vs Guizhou Zhicheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nei Mongol Zhongyou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
HEB
1 - 0
NMZ
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
SIC
0 - 1
NMZ
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
JIA
1 - 2
NMZ
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
QIN
0 - 0
NMZ
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
0 - 3
NMZ
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guizhou Zhicheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
QIN
3 - 1
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
QIN
1 - 1
GUI
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
HAR
22%
27%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
YAN
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BIT
2 - 0
GUI
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |